What is the current probability for "Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)": Above 3.1% 97%, Above 3.0% 92%, Above 3.2% 88% (top 3 of 21 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCPIYOY-26JUL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event21 outcomes

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

·Economy·ends Nov 11, 2026

vol cum

$533.2k

vol 24h

$26.8k

outcomes

ends

Nov 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 21

marketselected outcome

Above 3.1%

rank #1

97¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.2k

vol 24h

$18

spread

0.03

ends

Nov 11, 2026

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 12, 2026opencloses · Nov 11, 2026

Above 3.1% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history