marketsingle market
U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
United States
12%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$64.5k
vol 24h
$477
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 18, 2027
Yes 12¢
No 88¢
If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Mar 11, 2026opencloses · Jan 18, 2027