What is the current probability for "How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?": At least 226 88%, At least 222 85%, At least 230 83% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Apr 3, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXDHOUSEWON-26NOV03. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event11 outcomes

How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

·Politics·ends Apr 3, 2027

vol cum

$11.1k

vol 24h

$11.1k

outcomes

ends

Apr 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

At least 226

rank #1

United States

88¢

▲ 88.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.4k

vol 24h

$4.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Apr 3, 2027

If the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates is at least 226 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 22, 2026opencloses · Apr 3, 2027

At least 226 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history