If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 01:03 UTC on 6 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?” at 99%. The market has M$1 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Predict, Kalshi, Gemini and Polymarket.

"win the House" == when counting all voting representatives who caucus with the Democrats, the Democratic caucus has a majority "win the Senate" == when counting all voting senators who caucus with the Democrats, the Democratic caucus has a full majority (51+)