Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
As of 18:29 UTC on 9 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 68 markets in “Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?” on Manifold are “Indiana 1” at 98% (+1pp in 24h), “New York 19” at 98% and “Washington 8” at 98%. The event has M$10.7k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Opinion, Predict, Myriad and Kalshi.
Each option provisionally resolves once both the New York Times and Decision Desk HQ (or, if those become defunct, other reliable sources) call the race and do not retract the call for 24 hours. Final resolution will be according to certified results. Whether a candidate is "a Democrat" is determined by the party affiliation displayed on the ballot (being a Dem as one party on a fusion ticket counts.)
