Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather

United States

As of 20:40 UTC on 26 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?” at 34%. The market has $10 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.