p|datav0.1news266
opentrade on Kalshi ↗
marketsingle market

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather
United States
26%
▼ 7.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$27.2k
vol 24h
$26
spread
0.11
ends
Jan 7, 2036
Yes 26¢
No 74¢

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jun 21, 2025opencloses · Jan 7, 2036
Before 2035 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Kalshikalshi
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
yes11¢▼ 7.0pp
$206 24h · 1 market
Polymarketpolymarket
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
yes10¢▲ 0.1pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Opinionopinion
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
yes4¢
$2 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?
yes11¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
yes3¢▼ 2.0pp
$2.6k 24h · 1 market
Polymarketpolymarket
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
yes5¢▼ 0.5pp
$30 24h · 1 market