marketsingle market
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
United States
14%
▼ 4.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$13.9k
vol 24h
$17
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 7, 2029
Yes 14¢
No 86¢
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Jun 21, 2025opencloses · Jan 7, 2029