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Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather
United States
14%
4.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$13.9k
vol 24h
$17
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 7, 2029
Yes 14¢
No 86¢

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jun 21, 2025opencloses · Jan 7, 2029
Before 2028 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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