Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather

United States

As of 03:34 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?” at 4%. The market has $1.1k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.