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event5 outcomes

Will the National Popular Vote compact reach 270 electoral votes?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Jan 1, 2034

As of 02:19 UTC on 6 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Will the National Popular Vote compact reach 270 electoral votes?” on Kalshi are “Before 2032” at 35% (-41pp in 24h), “Before 2034” at 35% (+3pp in 24h) and “Before 2030” at 32% (-24pp in 24h). The event has $699 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum
$5.1k
vol 24h
$699
outcomes
5
ends
Jan 1, 2034
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before 2032
rank #1
United States
35¢
▼ 41.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.2k
vol 24h
$15
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 1, 2032

If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Apr 14, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2032
Before 2032 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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