Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
As of 01:40 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?” at 2%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, Myriad and Opinion.
If Chuck Edwards leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Chuck Edwards must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
