event11 outcomes

US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026

Kalshi·Politics·ends Nov 5, 2026

As of 09:25 UTC on 9 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 11 markets in “US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026” on Kalshi are “Above 3%” at 98%, “Above 7%” at 95% and “Above 4%” at 83%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum

$10.2k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Above 3%

rank #1

United States

98¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$220

vol 24h

spread

0.30

ends

Nov 5, 2026

If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 28, 2026opencloses · Nov 5, 2026

Above 3% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history