p|datav0.1news239
event12 outcomes

Average tariffs under Trump

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 2, 2029
vol cum
M11.8k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
12
ends
Jan 2, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 12

Resolves to the value of the average of all quarters of: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e In the interval [Q1 2025, Q1 2029), inclusive first, exclusive last The average will be taken on the later of the close of this market at creation (1/1/29) and the release date of the value for Q1 2029. Will resolve NA if the series stops being updated and I can't find a suitable alternative. Please note that the markets will still resolve based on those values even if Trump is no longer president before his term is scheduled to end.

trumps-second-termtarifffinanceeconomics-defaultgdp
marketselected outcome
>2%
rank #1 · resolved: yes
United States
99¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M0
vol 24h
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2029
timeline
opened · Feb 2, 2025closedresolved · Sep 9, 2026
>2% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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