Average tariffs under Trump
As of 16:58 UTC on 5 May 2026, the highest-priced of the 12 markets in “Average tariffs under Trump” on Manifold are “>2%” at 99%, “>3%” at 96% and “>4%” at 92%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Limitless.
Resolves to the value of the average of all quarters of: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e In the interval [Q1 2025, Q1 2029), inclusive first, exclusive last The average will be taken on the later of the close of this market at creation (1/1/29) and the release date of the value for Q1 2029. Will resolve NA if the series stops being updated and I can't find a suitable alternative. Please note that the markets will still resolve based on those values even if Trump is no longer president before his term is scheduled to end.
