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Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
Kalshi·Climate and Weather
As of 19:24 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?” at 26%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold and Opinion.
26%
vol cum
$35.4k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.12
ends
Jan 8, 2050
Yes 26¢
No 74¢
If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Jul 18, 2025opencloses · Jan 8, 2050
