opentrade on 
↗
↗event4 outcomes
Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
·Science and Technology·ends Jul 8, 2027vol cum
$5.2k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
4
ends
Jul 8, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before Jul 1, 2027
rank #1
United States
43¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$567
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.44
ends
Jul 8, 2027
If the FDA approves cytisinicline for smoking cessation for marketing before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · May 14, 2026opencloses · Jul 8, 2027
prices over time · Before Jul 1, 2027 highlighted
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdatakalshiFDA decision: Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences (June 2026)
Conditional / Accelerated Approval5¢▲ 3.0ppFull Approval2¢▲ 1.0ppDenied (CRL Issued)91¢▼ 1.0pp
+2 others
$1.2k 24h · 5 markets
polymarketFDA approves Retatrutide this year?
yes12¢· 0.0pp
$73 24h · 1 market
The FDA will approve an AI developed cure before the end of the decade (<2030) for a previously incurable major illness.
yes26¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshiWill the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jan 1, 202725¢▲ 1.0ppBefore Jul 1, 202764¢▼ 6.0ppBefore Jul 1, 202893¢· 0.0pp
+2 others
$351 24h · 5 markets
polymarketFDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
yes68¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
kalshiWill the FDA approve CagriSema?
Before Jul 1, 20262¢▼ 7.0ppBefore Jul 1, 202778¢· 0.0ppBefore Jan 1, 202876¢· 0.0pp
+2 others
$11 24h · 5 markets