Question 1

What is the current probability for "What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?": Central Bank 83%, Balance Sheet 76%, Productivity 76% (top 3 of 43 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 7/30/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXFEDMENTION-26JUL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?

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