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event9 outcomes

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 03:25 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?” on Kalshi are “Taiwan” at 12% (+3pp in 24h), “United Kingdom” at 8% and “India” at 7%. The event has $81 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?” on Limitless, an event with 5 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum
$14k
vol 24h
$81
outcomes
9
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
marketselected outcome
Taiwan
rank #1
United States
12¢
▲ 3.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1k
vol 24h
$81
spread
0.05
ends
Jan 1, 2027

If a free trade deal with Taiwan has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jul 7, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Taiwan · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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