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event8 outcomes

When will Google release Gemini 4?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 8, 2027

As of 11:04 UTC on 9 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “When will Google release Gemini 4?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 1, 2027” at 96%, “Before Dec 1, 2026” at 94% (-1pp in 24h) and “Before Dec 15, 2026” at 92%. The event has $36.2k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Predict and Kalshi.

vol cum
$324.4k
vol 24h
$36.2k
outcomes
8
ends
Jan 8, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
marketselected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
rank #1
96¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.5k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 8, 2027

If Google releases Gemini 4 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Aug 24, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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