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Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026
vol cum
M12.8k
vol 24h
M55
outcomes
10
ends
Dec 31, 2026
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Minor changes to the name, such as 'Gemini 4.1', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Gemini 4.0, will count for the purpose of this market. The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution. See also: @8AyI5Np5yl @OchSUnInIq @cgl2IP0yIC @LU5RqqqEuA (this market) @2OzL6Q56y8 @IZO2UZgUNO @2CqdhIO9cU @AnL9Aqgzc5 @N0qR0nZl8O @AzzEpzA8ys @ntStglnQz0 @SCnZAUUzEP @y5CU6hUn6s @qyC5ychznC @RlI6hyuNpU @2Rh2t5hALp @NONz6Ntycp @l9lRst5288 @ORA9UAlgdI @pNElq2SnCU @QL5hAdgQld @c5QycNqzUU @zNZZtUPO8d

aitechnology-defaultgoogle-geminiai-model-releasesgoogle-ef2cf716540e
marketselected outcome
Before March 2027
rank #1
96¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M1.8k
vol 24h
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · Sep 21, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
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