Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will David Hearn be charged again in connection with the Reflecting Pool?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Will David Hearn be charged again in connection with the Reflecting Pool?": Before Oct 1, 2026 22%, Before Sep 1, 2026 11% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 10/8/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXHEARNCHARGE-26AUG12. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Will David Hearn be charged again in connection with the Reflecting Pool?

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