Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Yes 2% (-1pp in 24h) on Kalshi as of 14:24 UTC on 13 Nov 2026 for “Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?”. The market has $1.3k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?” on Polymarket, priced at 2%. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.
If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii. Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i. It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.
