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Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather
United States
8%
▼ 3.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$151.2k
vol 24h
$7.7k
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 8¢
No 92¢

If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii. Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i. It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.

timeline
opened · Aug 13, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Before 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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