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2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner

“Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%” 6% (+6pp in 24h), “Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%” 4% (+4pp in 24h) and “Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%” 4% (+4pp in 24h) on Kalshi as of 09:33 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: “Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%” leads “2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner” out of 10 outcomes. The event has $2.9k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Manifold.

Kalshi·Elections·ends Jan 7, 2030
event10 outcomes
vol cum
$2.9k
vol 24h
$2.9k
outcomes
10
ends
Jan 7, 2030
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
marketselected outcome
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
rank #1
United States
6¢
▲ 6.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$328
vol 24h
$328
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 7, 2030

If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 11, 2026opencloses · Jan 7, 2030
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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