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U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?

Kalshi·Economy
United StatesIran

As of 11:09 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?” at 6% (-1pp in 24h). The market has $7.4k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, Manifold and Opinion.

6%
▼ 0.6pp
24h change
vol cum
$20.8k
vol 24h
$7.4k
spread
0.00
ends
May 2, 2027
Yes 6¢
No 94¢

If the "TOTAL 2026" value for Imports on the U.S. Census Bureau "Trade in goods with Iran" table (values in millions of U.S. dollars) for 2026 is greater than 5.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Mar 4, 2026opencloses · May 2, 2027
in 2026 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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