What is the current probability for "Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?": Before Jan 1, 2027 16%, Before Nov 1, 2026 6%, Before Oct 1, 2026 5% (top 3 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/8/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXLAKEAMERICA-26AUGUNDO. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event3 outcomes

Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?

·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2027

vol cum

$16.4k

vol 24h

$16.4k

outcomes

ends

Jan 8, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027

rank #1

16¢

▲ 13.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$945

vol 24h

$945

spread

0.03

ends

Jan 8, 2027

If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action reversing the renaming of Lake Ontario to Lake America before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 27, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history