What is the current probability for "Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?": Jūlija Stepaņenko 3%, Ivars Ijabs 2%, Viktors Valainis 2% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 3, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXLATVIAPM-26OCT03. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event12 outcomes

Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?

·Elections·ends Oct 3, 2027

vol cum

$22.4k

vol 24h

$22.4k

outcomes

ends

Oct 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

marketselected outcome

Jūlija Stepaņenko

rank #1

Latvia

3¢

▲ 3.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.6k

vol 24h

$3.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 3, 2027

If Jūlija Stepaņenko becomes Prime Minister of Latvia as a result of government formation following the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 14, 2026opencloses · Oct 3, 2027

Jūlija Stepaņenko · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history