What is the current probability for "Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?": Before Jan 31, 2028 81%, Before Jun 1, 2027 36%, Before Jan 1, 2027 19% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Feb 7, 2028.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

·Politics·ends Feb 7, 2028

vol cum

$752.8k

vol 24h

$12.6k

outcomes

ends

Feb 7, 2028

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Before Jan 31, 2028

rank #1

United States

81¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$17k

vol 24h

$405

spread

0.12

ends

Feb 7, 2028

If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Apr 30, 2026opencloses · Feb 7, 2028

Before Jan 31, 2028 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history