Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?": Before 2027 12%, Before May 15, 2026 1%, Before Jun 1, 2026 1% (top 3 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/1/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRYFIREPOWELL-26MAY12. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

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