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event21 outcomes

PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 19:09 UTC on 5 Jul 2026, the highest-priced of the 21 markets in “PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]” on Manifold are “Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket” at 100%, “Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting” at 100% and “Cook gives a published interview (3 questions or more) before 2026” at 100%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum
M22.5k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
21
ends
Jan 1, 2027
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showing 5 of 21

This market refers only to the seat held by Lisa Cook, not any other Fed seats Update 2025-08-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Announces replacement means Trump announces an intended replacement for Lisa Cook's seat; the nominee does not need to be seated. Thus, courts blocking the replacement does not preclude the announcement outcome; both can occur. Update 2025-08-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - "By 2026" means "before 2026", not by the end of 2026. "By" and "before" are used interchangeably in answer options; expect "before" to be used consistently.

magalandus-politicstrumps-second-termpolitics-defaultdonald-trump
marketselected outcome
Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket
rank #1 · resolved: yes
United States
100¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M907
vol 24h
—
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
timeline
opened · Aug 27, 2025closedresolved · Oct 21, 2026
Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket · prices over time
−24h
now
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