Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027
As of 17:26 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 6 markets in “Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 8% (-2pp in 24h), “October 31” at 2% (-1pp in 24h) and “June 30” at 0%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?” on Kalshi, an event with 3 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
