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event8 outcomes

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2026
vol cum
$252.7k
vol 24h
$327
outcomes
8
ends
Nov 3, 2026
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5
rank #1
United States
91¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$36k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.05
ends
Nov 3, 2026

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.

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opened · Jan 18, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2026
5 · prices over time
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