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event9 outcomes
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
vol cum
$1.6k
vol 24h
$20
outcomes
9
ends
Nov 3, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
marketselected outcome
Republicans, 30+ pts
rank #1
United States
88¢
vol cum
$230
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.08
ends
Nov 3, 2027
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 1st District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
Republicans, 30+ pts · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
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