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Arkansas's 4th District margin of victory
·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
9
ends
Nov 3, 2027
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marketselected outcome
Republicans, 24+ pts
rank #1
United States
0¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.07
ends
Nov 3, 2027
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 4th District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
prices over time · Republicans, 24+ pts highlighted
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
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