Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
As of 05:08 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?” at 18%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
If Elon Musk has been formally charged with any crime in Spain or France after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.
