marketsingle market
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
Manifold·Business
As of 04:13 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?” at 19%. The market has M$15 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini.
19%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M10.7k
vol 24h
M15
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2030
YES 19¢
NO 81¢
No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.
timeline
opened · Aug 15, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2030
