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Will Elon Musk be in prison by the end of Donald Trump’s term?
Manifold·Politics
United States
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Elon Musk be in prison by the end of Donald Trump’s term?” at 3%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

3%
vol cum
M29.3k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 21, 2029
YES 3¢
NO 97¢
Elon Musk plays fast and loose with the rules. He has a friend who does, too. Will one get bored of the other’s shenanigans? And where will that leave Musk?
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opened · Jan 7, 2025opencloses · Jan 21, 2029