opentrade on
↗
event3 outcomes
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
vol cum
$5.2k
vol 24h
$159
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 20, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Kash Patel
rank #1
United States
52¢
▲ 3.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.2k
vol 24h
$47
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 20, 2029
If the individual holding the title of Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Sep 28, 2026opencloses · Jan 20, 2029
Kash Patel · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataRFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
Before Apr 1, 20270¢· 0.0ppBefore Jul 1, 20270¢· 0.0ppBefore Oct 1, 20270¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
$0 24h · 6 markets
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
None before 202763¢· 0.0ppPete Hegseth10¢▲ 0.3ppSusie Wiles9¢▲ 0.1pp
+26 others
$172 24h · 29 markets
Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
yes32¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Howard Lutnick55¢▲ 0.5ppPete Hegseth24¢▼ 0.3ppSusie Wiles19¢· 0.0pp
+2 others
$0 24h · 5 markets
Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?
Todd Blanche92¢Pete Hegseth27¢▲ 1.0ppKash Patel25¢▲ 3.0pp
+31 others
$129 24h · 34 markets
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Nov 1, 202610¢▲ 7.0ppBefore Dec 1, 202623¢▲ 3.0ppBefore Jul 1, 202746¢▲ 2.0pp
+11 others
$6.9k 24h · 14 markets