pdatanews

How many government shutdowns will there be before 2028?

“At least 1” 72%, “At least 2” 38% and “At least 3” 15% on Kalshi as of 05:42 UTC on 12 Nov 2026: the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “How many government shutdowns will there be before 2028?”. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Predict.

Kalshi·Politics·ends Mar 31, 2028
event3 outcomes
vol cum
$1.2k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
3
ends
Mar 31, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
At least 1
rank #1
United States
72¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$819
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.09
ends
Mar 31, 2028

If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is at least 1 after Issuance and before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 7, 2026opencloses · Mar 31, 2028
At least 1 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata