opentrade on
↗
event2 outcomes
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
vol cum
$390.7k
vol 24h
$320
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 8, 2040
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Anthropic
rank #1
94¢
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$198.2k
vol 24h
$235
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 8, 2040
If Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Aug 6, 2025opencloses · Jan 8, 2040
Anthropic · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
yes97¢▲ 0.2pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
yes64¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026
yes50¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
Before Jan 20, 202954¢· 0.0ppBefore Jan 1, 202834¢· 0.0ppBefore Jan 1, 202719¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 3 markets
OpenAI IPO by...?
June 30, 202755¢· 0.0ppMarch 31, 202741¢· 0.0ppDecember 31, 20265¢▼ 0.5pp
+1 others
$0 24h · 4 markets
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
yes81¢
M0 24h · 1 market