Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 23:37 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?” at 62%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

62%

vol cum

M44.5k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2030

Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second Resolves N/A if either company has not begun public trading by December 31, 2030 Also resolves N/A if either company is acquired before both IPO