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event4 outcomes

How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?

Kalshi·Commodities·ends Apr 1, 2027

As of 09:08 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?” on Kalshi are “$20/MTok or below” at 6% (+4pp in 24h), “$15/MTok or below” at 5% and “$5/MTok or below” at 4% (+1pp in 24h). The event has $193 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Predict.

vol cum
$42.5k
vol 24h
$193
outcomes
4
ends
Apr 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
$20/MTok or below
rank #1
6¢
▲ 4.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$10.1k
vol 24h
$146
spread
0.09
ends
Apr 1, 2027

If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $20 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jun 8, 2026opencloses · Apr 1, 2027
$20/MTok or below · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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