Question 1

What is the current probability for "How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?": $20/MTok or below 33%, $15/MTok or below 19%, $10/MTok or below 13% (top 3 of 4 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 4/1/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXOPUS48OY-27. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?

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