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event4 outcomes

How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?

Kalshi·Commodities·ends Apr 1, 2027

As of 14:04 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?” on Kalshi are “$4/MTok or below” at 60% (-11pp in 24h), “$3/MTok or below” at 14% (-4pp in 24h) and “$2/MTok or below” at 3% (-6pp in 24h). The event has $1.3k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict and Limitless.

vol cum
$21.2k
vol 24h
$1.3k
outcomes
4
ends
Apr 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
$4/MTok or below
rank #1
60¢
▼ 11.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$13.4k
vol 24h
$637
spread
0.11
ends
Apr 1, 2027

If the Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jun 4, 2026opencloses · Apr 1, 2027
$4/MTok or below · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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