marketsingle market
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
Kalshi·Health
As of 08:11 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will there be a year without polio before 2030?” at 9%. The market has $137 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.
9%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$42.9k
vol 24h
$137
spread
0.05
ends
Jan 1, 2030
Yes 9¢
No 92¢
If there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Dec 18, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
