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Will there be a year without polio before 2030?

Kalshi·Health
4%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$41.7k
vol 24h
$37
spread
0.04
ends
Jan 1, 2030
Yes
No 96¢

If there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Dec 18, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
Before 2030 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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