Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Manifold·Health

As of 13:50 UTC on 27 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?” at 36%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

36%

vol cum

M8.8k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2030

Resolves YES if the WHO declares a pandemic not related to Covid-19 on or by December 31, 2030. Resolves NO otherwise. If the WHO declares a pandemic due to some variant of Covid-19, this will not count.