Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory
Source: kalshi·Event ID: KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026·Ends:
Markets
Spencer Pratt wins
- Yes: 24¢
- No: 76¢
Nithya Raman, 8-12%
- Yes: 10¢
- No: 90¢
Karen Bass, 0-4%
- Yes: 8¢
- No: 92¢
Karen Bass, 4-8%
- Yes: 8¢
- No: 92¢
Karen Bass, 8-12%
- Yes: 11¢
- No: 89¢
Nithya Raman, 4-8%
- Yes: 11¢
- No: 89¢
Karen Bass, 12-16%
- Yes: 10¢
- No: 90¢
Nithya Raman, ≥20%
- Yes: 8¢
- No: 92¢
Karen Bass, 16-20%
- Yes: 7¢
- No: 93¢
Nithya Raman, 12-16%
- Yes: 6¢
- No: 94¢
Nithya Raman, 16-20%
- Yes: 6¢
- No: 94¢
Nithya Raman, 0-4%
- Yes: 6¢
- No: 94¢
Karen Bass, ≥20%
- Yes: 0¢
- No: 100¢