event3 outcomes

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 20, 2029

As of 23:45 UTC on 30 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Will Trump recognize Somaliland?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 20, 2029” at 51%, “Before Jan 1, 2028” at 38% and “Before Jan 1, 2027” at 12% (-1pp in 24h). The event has $23 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$35.3k

vol 24h

$23

outcomes

ends

Jan 20, 2029

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Jan 20, 2029

rank #1

United StatesSomalia

51¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$18.4k

vol 24h

spread

0.04

ends

Jan 20, 2029

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Dec 18, 2024opencloses · Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 20, 2029 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history