Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
As of 23:39 UTC on 31 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?” at 9% (-2pp in 24h). The market has $15 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold and Predict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
