marketsingle market
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
United StatesSomalia

14%
▲ 3.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$179.6k
vol 24h
$709
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 14¢
No 87¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
PoliticsTrumpForeign PolicyWorld
timeline
opened · Dec 26, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027