pdatanews219
event3 outcomes

Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 8, 2029

As of 21:57 UTC on 8 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 1, 2029” at 68%, “Before Jan 1, 2028” at 49% and “Before Jan 1, 2027” at 10%. The event has $111 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

vol cum
$2.2k
vol 24h
$111
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 8, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2029
rank #1
68¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$92
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.08
ends
Jan 8, 2029

If OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Sep 17, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2029 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata