event2 outcomes
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026
As of 21:23 UTC on 3 Oct 2026, “Anthropic” leads “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?” on Manifold at 93%, followed by “OpenAI” at 7%, out of 2 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
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Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
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