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Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026
vol cum
M24.1k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
2
ends
Dec 31, 2026
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OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.

aiopenaitechnical-ai-timelinestechnology-defaultai-impacts
marketselected outcome
Anthropic
rank #1
United States
94¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M113
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · Jun 1, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
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