Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
As of 01:40 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Anthropic” in “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?” at 95% (+1pp in 24h). The market has $513 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?” on Predict, priced at 92%. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Predict, Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
