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Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Polymarket·Business
United States
96%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$337.5k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.00
ends
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic 96¢
OpenAI

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

sam altmanOpenAIBusinessIPOsIPOFinanceAIClaude 5
timeline
opened · Jan 30, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2027
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · prices over time
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