Question 1

What is the current probability for "Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?" are Brett Matsumoto 92%, David MacNeil 5% — 2 of 8 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 8/15/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXSENATECONFIRM-26APR29. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?

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