Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 19:06 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, “Samuel Alito” leads “Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?” on Manifold at 59%, followed by “Clarence Thomas” at 25% and “Sonia Sotomayor” at 6%, out of 10 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, Gemini and Limitless.